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HCC National Research Report  |  Study #2 of 6  |  June 2026

Shut Out: How the Federal DBE Program Suspension Is Cutting Hispanic Contractors Off From $40 Billion in Annual Contracts

Published June 10, 2026Hispanic Construction Council Research DepartmentNational Research Report
$40B
annual federal transportation contracts in the DBE pipeline, suspended October 2025
53,500
certified DBE and ACDBE firms required to undergo individual reevaluation with no completion deadline
0%
DBE contract goals set on new federal transportation solicitations since October 3, 2025
HCC Shut Out national study: DBE program suspension impact on Hispanic contractors and $40 billion in annual federal transportation contracts

Executive Summary

The U.S. Department of Transportation's October 2025 Interim Final Rule has effectively suspended the Disadvantaged Business Enterprise program for every certified firm in America. As of April 2026, the federal government channels approximately $40 billion annually in transportation contracts through the DBE program, and every one of the estimated 53,500 certified firms nationwide has been required to undergo individual reevaluation before any DBE goal can be set or any DBE participation can be counted on a new federal contract. The rule establishes no completion deadline. On March 31, 2026, the original court case that catalyzed this restructuring was declared moot, eliminating the litigation reversal pathway and confirming the IFR as permanent federal policy absent Congressional action. Some contractors have reported weekly solicitation volume dropping from more than 30 per week to one or two. This report documents the mechanism of suspension, the scale of impact on Hispanic construction firms, the regulatory and legal landscape, and three specific policy actions that would restore Hispanic contractor access to federally funded work.

The DBE Program: What It Was Built to Do

The federal Disadvantaged Business Enterprise program exists because a problem was recognized and documented: small businesses owned by socially and economically disadvantaged individuals were systematically excluded from federally funded transportation contracts not because of their capability, but because of how those contracts were structured, bid, and awarded.

The program was established under the Surface Transportation and Uniform Relocation Assistance Act of 1987. It requires recipients of federal highway, transit, and airport funding to establish goals for DBE participation in federally assisted contracts and to take affirmative steps to ensure those firms are given a fair opportunity to compete. The program is administered by the Federal Highway Administration, the Federal Transit Administration, and the Federal Aviation Administration.

At its core, the DBE program was built on a legal and factual foundation: that certain groups of business owners face documented disadvantage in the marketplace that cannot be explained by performance differences. The program identified six groups for whom disadvantage would be presumed: Black Americans, Hispanic Americans, Native Americans, Asian Pacific Americans, Subcontinent Asian Americans, and women. That presumption did not mean automatic participation. It meant that firms owned by members of those groups could be certified as DBEs without having to individually prove discrimination and disadvantage their communities had already documented collectively.

The program channeled approximately $40 billion annually in transportation contracts to certified firms. Hispanic contractors, concentrated in the subcontractor tier of federally funded transportation projects, were among the primary intended beneficiaries of the program's access mechanism.

That mechanism was suspended on October 3, 2025.

The October 2025 Federal Reversal: The Interim Final Rule

On October 3, 2025, the U.S. Department of Transportation published an Interim Final Rule in the Federal Register restructuring the DBE program's eligibility standards from the ground up (Federal Register, Vol. 90, No. 191, Document 2025-19460).

The rule eliminated the rebuttable presumption of social and economic disadvantage for all six covered groups. Every Hispanic American business owner seeking DBE certification could no longer rely on the group-based presumption that had existed for nearly four decades. Every owner of a currently certified firm was required to undergo reevaluation under a new individualized evidence standard.

The rule did more than change how future certifications would be processed. It froze the entire program pending completion of that reevaluation. Under the new rule, state Unified Certification Programs may not set DBE contract goals on new solicitations, may not enforce good faith effort requirements, and may not count any DBE participation toward overall program goals until each firm in their certification database has been individually reevaluated and either recertified or decertified.

53,500

The Department of Transportation estimated that approximately 53,500 DBE and Airport Concessions DBE firms nationwide would be subject to reevaluation. The rule set no deadline for completing this reevaluation. States must proceed "as quickly as practicable." Some state transportation agencies have indicated the process may take a year or longer. (Federal Register, Document 2025-19460, October 2025)

Wisconsin's Department of Transportation did not begin accepting recertification applications until February 16, 2026, more than four months after the rule took effect. California's Caltrans launched its reevaluation process in late 2025 with no published completion date. Connecticut targeted an April 1, 2026 completion, making it among the faster-moving state programs. No national completion timeline exists.

The practical effect was immediate. On the day the rule took effect, every DBE goal on new federal transportation contracts was zeroed out. What had been a $40 billion annual contract access mechanism became, functionally, a program suspended indefinitely pending bureaucratic completion of a process with no mandated timeline.

The Hispanic Contractor in the DBE Pipeline: Scale and Consequence

HCC's 2026 Capacity Gap national study established the foundational data. Hispanic workers represent 34 percent of the U.S. construction labor force. Hispanic-owned construction firms generate approximately $779 billion in annual revenue and employ nearly four million workers. Hispanic-owned employer firms represent 8.4 percent of all U.S. employer businesses, and the construction sector carries the highest concentration of Hispanic-owned businesses of any industry in the United States.

Yet the same study documented a structural gap: despite that 34 percent workforce share, Hispanic-owned construction firms capture approximately 7.1 percent of total construction industry revenue. An estimated 70,000 qualified Hispanic-owned construction firms cannot access public works bid pools because they cannot meet surety bonding requirements rooted in generational capital access barriers, not performance deficiencies.

The DBE program was not a solution to that gap. It was a partial mitigation mechanism. When a state DOT set a 15 percent DBE participation goal on a highway resurfacing project, it created a bid pool entry point for certified Hispanic subcontractors who would otherwise face the full weight of the bonding and working capital barriers documented in the Capacity Gap study.

Solicitation volume collapsed immediately. Contractors have reported weekly solicitation volume dropping from more than 30 per week to one or two per week following the October 2025 rule. Firms that built their business models around DBE-designated bid pools are now competing head-to-head for general solicitations against well-capitalized general contractors. (TANTV, 2026; Daily Reporter, November 24, 2025)

This is the compounding effect: Hispanic construction firms were already excluded from a significant portion of public works opportunities by capital access barriers documented in HCC's prior research. The DBE program provided a partial, targeted offset to that exclusion for federally funded transportation work. The suspension of that program, with no completion timeline and no interim relief mechanism, has removed even that partial access path.

Six Months After: What the Data Shows

As of April 2026, approximately six months have passed since the Interim Final Rule took effect. The available evidence points consistently toward a program in near-total suspension with no clear restoration horizon.

State transportation agencies across the country confirmed that DBE goals were zeroed on new contract solicitations beginning October 3, 2025. The agencies were not given discretion in this matter. Whether an agency's certified DBE database was large or small, whether it had the staff capacity to process recertifications quickly or not, the suspension applied uniformly.

The reevaluation workload is substantial. The DOT estimated 53,500 firms nationwide. States must contact each firm, provide instructions for submitting individualized documentation, review personal narratives and net worth statements, make individualized eligibility determinations, and issue written decisions. This is not a form-processing exercise. Each determination requires substantive review.

Wisconsin illustrates the timeline challenge. The state did not begin accepting recertification applications until mid-February 2026, more than four months after the rule took effect. Contractors who had been certified through Wisconsin's program have been unable to qualify for DBE goals on new Wisconsin DOT contracts for more than six months, with no clarity on when that will change.

Compounding pressures in high-construction states. In Texas, California, Florida, and North Carolina, the DBE suspension compounds additional pressures. Those same states are experiencing the highest rates of enforcement-related workforce disruption, with 28 percent of construction firms nationally reporting workforce disruptions in the past six months. Construction loans in South Texas declined approximately 30 percent over the past year. (AGC-NCCER Workforce Survey, 2025; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2026)

“Hispanic workers are 34 percent of the U.S. construction labor force. The construction sector has the highest concentration of Hispanic-owned businesses of any industry in America. Those firms were already navigating documented structural barriers before October 2025. The DBE program did not solve those barriers, but it created a partial access path to federal transportation contracts. That path has been suspended with no timeline and now no judicial remedy. The contractors, workforces, and families depending on those contracts do not have years to wait for a legislative solution. They need one now.”

George Carrillo, CEO, Hispanic Construction Council

The Legal and Regulatory Landscape

The October 2025 Interim Final Rule did not emerge in isolation. It was the administrative expression of a broader legal and policy trajectory that had been reshaping the DBE program for years before the rule was published.

Federal courts had been issuing increasingly skeptical rulings on race-conscious contracting programs across multiple federal circuits. The Supreme Court's 2023 Students for Fair Admissions decision, while directly addressing university admissions, signaled the court's broader skepticism toward race-based classifications in federal programs. Multiple legal challenges to the DBE program's race-based presumptions had been filed in federal courts by 2025.

The DOT's use of an Interim Final Rule, rather than the standard notice-and-comment rulemaking process, allowed the agency to implement changes immediately without a public comment period. This procedural choice accelerated the timeline for suspension but may create its own legal vulnerabilities.

On March 31, 2026, the original court case that catalyzed the DOT's administrative action was declared moot, following the IFR's publication making the program changes operative. (Daily Reporter, March 31, 2026.) The mootness ruling closes the litigation reversal pathway. The IFR is now the permanent operative framework for the DBE program absent Congressional action. The resolution of the DBE program suspension requires legislative action, not a court ruling.

Key Findings

The suspension is complete and uniform.

Beginning October 3, 2025, state Unified Certification Programs were prohibited from setting DBE goals on new solicitations, enforcing good faith effort requirements, or counting DBE participation toward program goals until each firm completes individual reevaluation. States were given no discretion.

53,500 certified firms are required to reapply individually.

Each firm must submit personal narrative documentation of social and economic disadvantage and a net worth statement. No national timeline governs completion. Wisconsin did not begin accepting recertification applications until February 16, 2026, more than four months after the rule took effect.

Solicitation volume has collapsed for affected contractors.

Contractors report weekly bid solicitation volume dropping from more than 30 per week to one or two since the October 2025 rule. Firms that operated within DBE-designated bid pools are now competing without that access structure on new contracts.

Compounding pressures are highest in high-construction states.

In Texas, California, Florida, and North Carolina, the DBE suspension coincides with the highest rates of immigration enforcement-related workforce disruption and construction lending contraction. South Texas construction loans declined approximately 30 percent, per the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2026.

The litigation path is closed.

On March 31, 2026, the court case that catalyzed the IFR was declared moot. The prior certification standard was not vindicated or invalidated. The Interim Final Rule is permanent federal policy until Congress acts.

Three Policy Actions That Would Restore and Strengthen Hispanic Contractor Access

Given that the litigation reversal pathway is now closed following the March 31, 2026 mootness ruling, all three recommended actions are directed at Congress and federal agencies.

01

Establish a statutory reevaluation deadline and require interim relief for firms with established performance records.

The current rule requires states to proceed 'as quickly as practicable' but imposes no deadline. Congress should establish a deadline of 12 months from the rule's effective date. For firms with ten or more years of DBE certification and no fraud findings, Congress should authorize interim participation at reduced goal levels pending completion.

02

Activate race-neutral small business participation programs that can operate independently of the suspended certification system.

The Federal Highway Administration and Federal Transit Administration should issue guidance directing recipients to deploy available race-neutral mechanisms during the reevaluation period. Many states suspended all small business participation goals in October 2025; race-neutral tools were not activated as alternatives.

03

Require monthly public reporting on DBE reevaluation completion rates by state, by owner demographics, and by firm revenue band.

No federal data source currently tracks reevaluation completion rates by state, by owner demographics, or by firm revenue band. The DOT should establish and publish this data monthly, providing public accountability for a process that currently has no external check on its pace.

Conclusion

The $40 billion annual DBE pipeline represents one of the federal government's primary mechanisms for translating infrastructure investment into economic opportunity for disadvantaged small businesses, including Hispanic-owned construction firms. That pipeline has been suspended.

The litigation track that once offered a potential path to judicial reversal is no longer available. On March 31, 2026, the original case that catalyzed the IFR was declared moot. The research in this report is not a call for a return to a status quo that was itself imperfect. It is a call for Congress and the DOT to act on a timeline measured in months, not years of waiting for a resolution that will not come from the courts.

HCC will continue tracking DBE reevaluation progress through the NXT Infrastructure Database at hispanicconstructioncouncil.com and through this national research series. The next full update on federal contracting access for Hispanic construction firms will appear in the 2026 State of Hispanics in Construction Report.


Methodology

This report draws on federal regulatory documents, independent legal analysis, media reporting, and HCC primary and secondary research. Federal sources include the U.S. Department of Transportation Interim Final Rule (Federal Register, Vol. 90, No. 191, Document 2025-19460, October 3, 2025) and related DOT guidance. Cross-reference data draws from HCC's 2026 Capacity Gap national study and primary analysis of U.S. Census Bureau Annual Business Survey (November 2025) and Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey (2025). State-level reevaluation timeline information draws from individual state DOT announcements, PilieroMazza Government Contracts Law updates (2025-2026), and Clark Hill PLC's DBE Recertification Tracking Resource (2026). Solicitation volume data draws from TANTV (2026) and Daily Reporter (November 24, 2025) contractor interviews. Legal landscape analysis draws from Congressional Research Service (IN12627, 2025), Greenberg Traurig (November 2025), and PilieroMazza (DBE Program in Peril, 2025). Mootness ruling: Daily Reporter, March 31, 2026.

This report was produced by the Hispanic Construction Council Research Department. For data inquiries, contact HCC Research at hispanicconstructioncouncil.com.

Source Citations

  • U.S. Department of Transportation. Disadvantaged Business Enterprise Program and ACDBE Program Implementation Modifications. Federal Register, Vol. 90, No. 191, Document 2025-19460. October 3, 2025.
  • U.S. Department of Transportation. DBE IFR Guidance. September 30, 2025.
  • Congressional Research Service. DOT Interim Final Rule on DBE Program. IN12627. 2025.
  • Greenberg Traurig LLP. US DOT Announces Changes to DBE Program. November 2025.
  • National Law Review. Prove It: Department of Transportation's DBE Program Ceases Presumption of Disadvantaged Status. 2025.
  • PilieroMazza Government Contracts Law. DBE Program in Peril: Recent Legal Challenges and What They Mean for Women- and Minority-Owned Contractors. 2025.
  • PilieroMazza Government Contracts Law. Update on the DBE Interim Final Rule: DOT Issues Key Guidance for DBE Program Stakeholders. 2026.
  • Clark Hill PLC. Disadvantaged Business Enterprise (DBE) Recertification Tracking Resource. Updated monthly, 2026.
  • Hahn Law. Department of Transportation Issues New Rule Ushering in Major Changes for DBE Certification. 2025.
  • GCAP Services. DBE Program Transition: Understanding DBE Rules During a Period of Change. January 26, 2026.
  • Daily Reporter. DBE Recertification Rule Halts Work for Minority Contractors. November 24, 2025.
  • Daily Reporter. WisDOT to Launch Recertification for Disadvantaged Firms. February 4, 2026.
  • Daily Reporter. Court case that catalyzed end of DBE Program declared moot. March 31, 2026.
  • Wisconsin Department of Transportation. DBE and ACDBE Recertification. February 2026.
  • Caltrans. DBE Reevaluation Program. California Department of Transportation, 2025-2026.
  • TANTV. The DBE Rollback: How the End of Federal Diversity Goals Is Threatening DMV Minority Contractors. 2026.
  • Construction Dive. DOTs Hit Pause on DBE Goals to Recertify Firms. 2026.
  • McDonald Hopkins. DOT Interim Final Rule: Sweeping Changes to the DBE/ACDBE Certification Rules and Goals. 2025.
  • Associated General Contractors of America and National Center for Construction Education and Research. Workforce Survey 2025.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Construction Lending Data, South Texas Region. 2026.
  • Hispanic Construction Council. The Capacity Gap: How Hispanic Contractors Are Solving America's Construction Labor Crisis and What It Would Take to Finish the Job. April 2026.
  • U.S. Census Bureau. Annual Business Survey. November 2025.
  • Bureau of Labor Statistics. Current Population Survey. 2025.
  • Associated Builders and Contractors. 2026 Construction Workforce Demand Report. 2026.

HCC National Research Series  |  Study #1 of 6

The Capacity Gap

Documents the $395 billion revenue gap between Hispanic construction workforce contribution and economic participation, and three policy actions that would close it.

Read the Capacity Gap Study

Press Release

Official HCC press release for this study

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